Survival analysis model to estimate sensory shelf life with temperature and illumination as accelerating factors

Abstract

The main objective of this study was to introduce a survival model to contemplate two simultaneous accelerating factors affecting a food product's shelf life: temperature and illumination. A second objective was to consider the case where the same consumer tests different experimental conditions and thus his/her data are not independent. Sample data comprised 108 consumers who evaluated a lemon-flavored juice stored at 24 °C, 37 °C and 45 °C; under conditions of no-illumination and with illumination; with seven different storage times for each of the six experimental conditions. Aiming to estimate the storage time at which a consumer rejects a sample a model including an Arrhenius term for the temperature, a binomial response for illumination (with and without) and the interaction of both was developed. The model also considered that the same consumer tested different experimental conditions.