Rapid WUI growth in a natural amenity-rich region in central-western Patagonia, Argentina

Abstract

The wildland-urban interface (WUI) is a focal area for human environmental conflicts including wildfires. The WUI grows because new houses are built, and in developed countries, housing growth can be very rapid in areas with natural amenities. However, it is not clear if natural amenity-driven WUI growth is limited to developed countries, or also prevalent in developing countries. Amenity-driven WUI growth may be particularly rapid there, owing to a rapidly growing middle class. Our objectives were to (i) map the current WUI; (ii) quantify recent WUI growth; and (iii) analyse relationships between the WUI and both fire ignition points and wildfire perimeters in the region of El Bolson, in Central Andean Patagonia, Argentina. We mapped the current WUI based on housing information derived from census data, topographic maps, high-resolution imagery and land-cover data. We found that the WUI contained 96.6% of all buildings in 2016 even though the WUI covered only 6.4% of the study area. Between 1981 and 2016, the WUI increased in area by 76%, and the number of houses by 74%. Furthermore, 77% of the recent fires in the region occurred in the WUI, highlighting the need to balance development with wildfire risk and other human-environmental problems.