Spatial and temporal patterns at small scale in Austrocedrus chilensis diseased forests and their effect on disease progression

Abstract

Austrocedrus chilensis is an endemic conifer of Patagonia that suffers a widespread mortality whose causes are a topic of discussion. Since Phytophthora austrocedrae is the most probable cause, we proposed that the spatial and temporal patterns of disease at small scale should reflect pathogen behavior. We aimed at characterizing the spatial and temporal patterns of diseased trees in different soil types and the effect of microsite variability on diseased trees spatial pattern. The spatial pattern of disease was influenced by soil type and tree density. In clay soils with low disease incidence (ca. 25%), the spatial pattern was random and not influenced by abiotic microsite conditions. When disease incidence increased (ca. 70%), concurring with denser plots, the spatial pattern was clustered, as a result of an infection process, and it was independent of microsite variability. In soils with better drainage conditions, that is, alluvial soils with volcanic ash input and coarse textured volcanic soils, the disease was clustered and associated with flat microtopographies. The progression of the disease at small scale was influenced by soil, precipitation and tree density. The spatial and temporal patterns of disease progression were associated with a contagion process and with environmental variables that affect drainage, coinciding with Phytophthora biology and requirements. Our results concur in pointing at Phytophthora as the cause of A. chilensis disease in the study area. Management practices should be urgently applied in order to minimize the spread of the inoculum.