Hybrid optimization model with Neural Network approach for renewable energy prediction and scheduling in large scale systems

Abstract

Climate change demands clean energy solutions, and renewable sources such as solar and wind are prime candidates. However, their variability poses challenges for their integration into large-scale power systems. This paper addresses this issue by proposing a novel hybrid mathematical model. The proposal integrates both fossil and renewable sources, considering real-world constraints such as system demand, reserves, and transmission dynamics. The model combines several approaches. By using a novel block composition technique, the computational complexity is reduced, making the model applicable to large-scale systems. A neural network is also developed to improve the forecasting of renewable energy production, which is crucial for managing its intermittency. The effectiveness of the proposed model is tested by considering the large Argentinean electricity system, demonstrating its practical applicability. The results show that acceptable forecasts can be obtained for the generation and transmission scheduling of the whole system.