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dc.contributor.author
Quiroga, Maria Paula
dc.contributor.author
Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia
dc.contributor.author
Kitzberger, Thomas
dc.date.available
2019-10-22T20:10:05Z
dc.date.issued
2018-11-21
dc.identifier.citation
Quiroga, Maria Paula; Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia; Kitzberger, Thomas; Niche squeeze induced by climate change of the cold-tolerant subtropical montane Podocarpus parlatorei; The Royal Society; Royal Society Open Science; 5; 11; 21-11-2018; 1-11
dc.identifier.issn
2054-5703
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/86994
dc.description.abstract
Under changing climates, the persistence of montane subtropical taxa may be threatened as suitable habitats decrease with elevation. We developed future environmental niche models (ENNMs) for Podocarpus parlatorei, the only conifer from southern Yungas in South America, and projected it onto two greenhouse gas concentration scenarios based on 13 global climate models for the years 2050 and 2070. Modelling identified that P. parlatorei is sensitive and restricted to a relatively narrow range of both warm season temperature and precipitation. By the mid-late twenty-first century areas of high suitability for P. parlatorei will not migrate but overall suitability will become substantially reduced across its whole range and surrounding areas. Despite extensive areas in high mountain ranges where the species may encounter thermally optimal conditions to potentially allow upward local migration, these same areas will likely become strongly aridified under future conditions. On the other hand, in lowland locations where rainfall levels will not change substantially (e.g. northern range), excessive warming will likely generate abiotic and biotic restrictions (e.g. competition with lowland species) for this cold-tolerant species. Urgent measures should be developed for the local long-term preservation of the gene pool of the unique conifer that characterizes Yungas forests for reasons of biodiversity conservation and ecosystem services.
dc.format
application/pdf
dc.language.iso
eng
dc.publisher
The Royal Society
dc.rights
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.uri
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/
dc.subject
COLD-TOLERANT SPECIES
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FUTURE ENVIRONMENTAL NICHE MODELS
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MONTANE SUBTROPICAL HABITATS
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YUNGAS
dc.subject.classification
Conservación de la Biodiversidad
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Ciencias Biológicas
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CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS
dc.title
Niche squeeze induced by climate change of the cold-tolerant subtropical montane Podocarpus parlatorei
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type
info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.date.updated
2019-10-10T13:58:25Z
dc.journal.volume
5
dc.journal.number
11
dc.journal.pagination
1-11
dc.journal.pais
Reino Unido
dc.journal.ciudad
Londres
dc.description.fil
Fil: Quiroga, Maria Paula. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universitario Bariloche. Laboratorio de Ecotono; Argentina
dc.description.fil
Fil: Premoli Il'grande, Andrea Cecilia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universitario Bariloche. Laboratorio de Ecotono; Argentina
dc.description.fil
Fil: Kitzberger, Thomas. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universitario Bariloche. Laboratorio de Ecotono; Argentina
dc.journal.title
Royal Society Open Science
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://rsos.royalsocietypublishing.org/lookup/doi/10.1098/rsos.180513
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.180513
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