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dc.contributor.author
Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa
dc.contributor.author
Grau, Hector Ricardo
dc.contributor.author
Aide, T. Mitchell
dc.date.available
2019-03-19T00:19:40Z
dc.date.issued
2011-05
dc.identifier.citation
Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa; Grau, Hector Ricardo; Aide, T. Mitchell; Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030); Royal Swedish Acad Sciences; Ambio; 40; 3; 5-2011; 298-309
dc.identifier.issn
0044-7447
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/71985
dc.description.abstract
Abstract Global trends of increasing rural-urban migration and population urbanization could provide opportunities for nature conservation, particularly in regions where deforestation is driven by subsistence agriculture. We analyzed the role of rural population as a driver of deforestation and its contribution to urban population growth from 1970 to the present in the Atlantic Forest of Argentina, a global conservation priority. We created future land-use-cover scenarios based on human demographic parameters and the relationship between rural population and land-cover change between 1970 and 2006. In 2006, native forest covered 50% of the province, but by 2030 all scenarios predicted a decrease that ranged from 18 to 39% forest cover. Between 1970 and 2001, rural migrants represented 20% of urban population growth and are expected to represent less than 10% by 2030. This modeling approach shows how rural-urban migration and land-use planning can favor nature conservation with little impact on urban areas.
dc.format
application/pdf
dc.language.iso
eng
dc.publisher
Royal Swedish Acad Sciences
dc.rights
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.uri
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.subject
DEFORESTATION
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GLOBALIZATION
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HUMAN DEMOGRAPHY
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LANDSCAPE PLANNING
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STELLA
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SUBTROPICAL ARGENTINA
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Ciencias Medioambientales
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Geografía Económica y Social
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CIENCIAS SOCIALES
dc.title
Implications of rural-urban migration for conservation of the atlantic forest and Urban growth in Misiones, Argentina (1970-2030)
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type
info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.date.updated
2019-03-15T20:01:23Z
dc.journal.volume
40
dc.journal.number
3
dc.journal.pagination
298-309
dc.journal.pais
Suecia
dc.journal.ciudad
Estocolmo
dc.description.fil
Fil: Izquierdo, Andrea Elisa. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina. Centro de Investigaciones del Bosque Atlántico; Argentina
dc.description.fil
Fil: Grau, Hector Ricardo. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina
dc.description.fil
Fil: Aide, T. Mitchell. Universidad de Puerto Rico; Puerto Rico
dc.journal.title
Ambio
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-010-0095-3
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13280-010-0095-3
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3357799/
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