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dc.contributor.author
Otero, Marcelo Javier
dc.contributor.author
Solari, Hernan Gustavo
dc.contributor.author
Schweigmann, Nicolas Joaquin
dc.date.available
2019-03-18T14:39:12Z
dc.date.issued
2006-12
dc.identifier.citation
Otero, Marcelo Javier; Solari, Hernan Gustavo; Schweigmann, Nicolas Joaquin; A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate; Springer; Bulletin Of Mathematical Biology; 68; 8; 12-2006; 1945-1974
dc.identifier.issn
0092-8240
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/71819
dc.description.abstract
Aedes aegypti is the main vector for dengue and urban yellow fever. It is extended around the world not only in the tropical regions but also beyond them, reaching temperate climates. Because of its importance as a vector of deadly diseases, the significance of its distribution in urban areas and the possibility of breeding in laboratory facilities, Aedes aegypti is one of the best-known mosquitoes. In this work the biology of Aedes aegypti is incorporated into the framework of a stochastic population dynamics model able to handle seasonal and total extinction as well as endemic situations. The model incorporates explicitly the dependence with temperature. The ecological parameters of the model are tuned to the present populations of Aedes aegypti in Buenos Aires city, which is at the border of the present day geographical distribution in South America. Temperature thresholds for the mosquito survival are computed as a function of average yearly temperature and seasonal variation as well as breeding site availability. The stochastic analysis suggests that the southern limit of Aedes aegypti distribution in South America is close to the 15°C average yearly isotherm, which accounts for the historical and current distribution better than the traditional criterion of the winter (July) 10°C isotherm. © 2006 Springer Science+Business Media, Inc.
dc.format
application/pdf
dc.language.iso
eng
dc.publisher
Springer
dc.rights
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.uri
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.subject
Aedes Aegypti
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Mathematical Ecology
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Population Dynamics
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Stochastic Model
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Temperate Climate
dc.subject.classification
Astronomía
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Ciencias Físicas
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CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS
dc.title
A stochastic population dynamics model for Aedes aegypti: Formulation and application to a city with temperate climate
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type
info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.date.updated
2019-03-15T19:02:01Z
dc.journal.volume
68
dc.journal.number
8
dc.journal.pagination
1945-1974
dc.journal.pais
Alemania
dc.journal.ciudad
Berlin
dc.description.fil
Fil: Otero, Marcelo Javier. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Física de Buenos Aires. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Física de Buenos Aires; Argentina
dc.description.fil
Fil: Solari, Hernan Gustavo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Física de Buenos Aires. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Física de Buenos Aires; Argentina
dc.description.fil
Fil: Schweigmann, Nicolas Joaquin. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Instituto de Física de Buenos Aires. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Física de Buenos Aires; Argentina
dc.journal.title
Bulletin Of Mathematical Biology
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-006-9067-y
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