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Artículo

A stochastic spatial dynamical model for Aedes aegypti

Otero, Marcelo JavierIcon ; Schweigmann, Nicolas JoaquinIcon ; Solari, Hernan GustavoIcon
Fecha de publicación: 12/2008
Editorial: Springer
Revista: Bulletin Of Mathematical Biology
ISSN: 0092-8240
Idioma: Inglés
Tipo de recurso: Artículo publicado
Clasificación temática:
Otras Ciencias Biológicas

Resumen

We develop a stochastic spatial model for Aedes aegypti populations based on the life cycle of the mosquito and its dispersal. Our validation corresponds to a monitoring study performed in Buenos Aires. Lacking information with regard to the number of breeding sites per block, the corresponding parameter (BS) was adjusted to the data. The model is able to produce numerical data in very good agreement with field results during most of the year, the exception being the fall season. Possible causes of the disagreement are discussed. We analyzed the mosquito dispersal as an advantageous strategy of persistence in the city and simulated the dispersal of females from a source to the surroundings along a 3-year period observing that several processes occur simultaneously: local extinctions, recolonization processes (resulting from flight and the oviposition performed by flyers), and colonization processes resulting from the persistence of eggs during the winter season. In view of this process, we suggest that eradication campaigns in temperate climates should be performed during the winter time for higher efficiency.
Palabras clave: Aedes Aegypti , Aedes Aegypti Dispersal , Dengue Epidemics , Mathematical Ecology , Population Dynamics , Spatial Model , Stochastic Model , Temperate Climate
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info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess Excepto donde se diga explícitamente, este item se publica bajo la siguiente descripción: Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 Unported (CC BY-NC-SA 2.5)
Identificadores
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/11336/61562
URL: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11538-008-9300-y
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-008-9300-y
Colecciones
Articulos(IEGEBA)
Articulos de INSTITUTO DE ECOLOGIA, GENETICA Y EVOLUCION DE BS. AS
Articulos(IFIBA)
Articulos de INST.DE FISICA DE BUENOS AIRES
Citación
Otero, Marcelo Javier; Schweigmann, Nicolas Joaquin; Solari, Hernan Gustavo; A stochastic spatial dynamical model for Aedes aegypti; Springer; Bulletin Of Mathematical Biology; 70; 5; 12-2008; 1297-1325
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