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dc.contributor.author
Antofie, T.
dc.contributor.author
Naumann, Gustavo
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dc.contributor.author
Spinoni, J.
dc.contributor.author
Vogt, J.
dc.date.available
2018-02-27T20:14:19Z
dc.date.issued
2015-01
dc.identifier.citation
Antofie, T.; Naumann, Gustavo; Spinoni, J.; Vogt, J.; Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region; Copernicus Publications; Hydrology And Earth System Sciences; 19; 1; 1-2015; 177-193
dc.identifier.issn
1027-5606
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/37339
dc.description.abstract
A drought severity climatology for the Carpathian region has been produced using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (Sc-PDSI) for the period 1961-2010. Using the Sc-PDSI and the assumptions of the Palmer drought model (PDM) the precipitation required for drought termination (when Sc-PDSI reaches -0.5) and amelioration (when Sc-PDSI reaches -2.0) are computed for periods of 1, 3, and 6 months. We discuss the reduction of the uncertainty in the determination of the beginning and ending of drought conditions, and provide a quantitative measure of the probability that any drought could be ameliorated or terminated. We present how the spatial variability of the amount of water needed for drought recovery and the climatological probability of receiving that amount of water is determined by the local conditions against the general climate characteristics of a small area such as the Carpathian region. Regionally, the Pannonian Basin, the Transylvanian Plateau and the external Carpathian foothills and plains in the southern and eastern part of the region require the highest quantity of precipitation to recover from a drought while having the lowest climatological probabilities for such amounts of rainfall. High precipitation amounts over the northern and northwest part of the region result in higher soil moisture supplies and higher climatological probabilities to end a given drought event. Moreover, the succession and/or predominance of particular types of general atmospheric circulation patterns produce a seasonal cycle and inter-annual variability of precipitation that is quantitatively reflected in the excess of precipitation that is above normal required for drought recovery. Overall, the results of this study provide an overview on the chances of recovery from a drought period with moderate or severe drought and present information useful in decision making in water and drought management.
dc.format
application/pdf
dc.language.iso
eng
dc.publisher
Copernicus Publications
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dc.rights
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.uri
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.subject
Drought
dc.subject.classification
Meteorología y Ciencias Atmosféricas
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dc.subject.classification
Ciencias de la Tierra y relacionadas con el Medio Ambiente
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dc.subject.classification
CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS
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dc.title
Estimating the water needed to end the drought or reduce the drought severity in the Carpathian region
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type
info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.date.updated
2018-02-27T14:17:48Z
dc.identifier.eissn
1607-7938
dc.journal.volume
19
dc.journal.number
1
dc.journal.pagination
177-193
dc.journal.pais
Alemania
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dc.journal.ciudad
Gottingen
dc.description.fil
Fil: Antofie, T.. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia
dc.description.fil
Fil: Naumann, Gustavo. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
dc.description.fil
Fil: Spinoni, J.. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia
dc.description.fil
Fil: Vogt, J.. Institute for Environment and Sustainability; Italia
dc.journal.title
Hydrology And Earth System Sciences
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dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hessd-11-1493-2014
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/19/177/2015/hess-19-177-2015-discussion.html
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