Genetic diversity and climatic suitability over time of Baetodes huaico (Ephemeroptera: Baetidae)

Abstract

In the Neotropical region, the genetic diversity and bioclimatic preferences of Ephemeroptera are poorly known mainly due to the lack of studies. We used the 16S rRNA mitochondrial gene to examine the genetic structure of Baetodes huaico, an aquatic insect distributed in the Northwest of Argentina. Also, we performed an ecological niche modeling (ENM) to understand bioclimatic preferences and combine with the genetic data to understand historical dynamic distribution of B. huaico. We found that B. huaico populations are genetically structured into two distinct geographic groups. The ENM showed a distributional shift from south to north through time. Also, we recovered a stable region over time in the Southwest of Tucum´an with the highest value of suitability and high genetic diversity; this region was previously proposed as a Pleistocene refuge. Our result suggests that the northern group was stable over time and underwent a recent demographic expansion coincident with a glacial refugium, whereas the southern group could have been affected by climatic fluctuations during. The results emphasize possible climatic influences in genetic population differentiation, and contributes to the knowledge of the genetic diversity of Ephemeroptera from subtropical Argentina laying the groundwork for future work forother freshwater insects in our region.