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dc.contributor.author
Gonzalez, Juan Cruz  
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Orgeira, Tomás José Luis  
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Jiménez, Yohana Gisell  
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Nieto Peñalver, María Carolina  
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Romero, Cynthia  
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Alegre, Ana  
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Quiñones, Javier  
dc.date.available
2024-12-13T10:27:28Z  
dc.date.issued
2023-04  
dc.identifier.citation
Gonzalez, Juan Cruz; Orgeira, Tomás José Luis; Jiménez, Yohana Gisell; Nieto Peñalver, María Carolina; Romero, Cynthia; et al.; Habitat suitability under future climate scenarios in black-browed albatross (Thalassarche melanophris) in Southern South America and Antarctica; Springer; Polar Biology; 46; 6; 4-2023; 545-557  
dc.identifier.issn
0722-4060  
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/250401  
dc.description.abstract
The Black-browed Albatross (BBA), Thalassarche melanophris, is one of the most abundant and widespread pelagic seabirds in the southern hemisphere, considered an indicator species of climate change in Antarctica. In addition to the known negative interactions with fsheries, other threats may act indirectly on this species whose efects have not yet been evaluated, such as increased sea surface temperature due to climate change. Under the assumption that carbon emissions modify the distribution of BBA, we modeled the environmental suitability and inferred BBA distribution under future climate scenarios for 2050 and 2100. We used 23 years of observation data (1991?2020) from research vessels in the Southwest Atlantic Ocean and Antarctica to estimate habitat suitability and predict change in suitability for the two future time ranges (2040?2050 and 2090?2100) under four representative concentration pathway scenarios: optimistic, intermediate pessimistic. Our projections predict a reduction in the total habitat suitability for BBA by 8% and 31.4% by 2050 and 2100, respectively, in the worst-casescenario compared to the present. Our study enhances understanding of the factors driving distribution dynamics for the species and aid in the development of conservation areas under future global change scenarios.  
dc.format
application/pdf  
dc.language.iso
eng  
dc.publisher
Springer  
dc.rights
info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess  
dc.rights.uri
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/  
dc.subject
ALBATROSSES  
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SEABIRDS  
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NICHE MODELING  
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SCOTIA SEA  
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WEDELL SEA  
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CLIMATE CHANGE  
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Ecología  
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Ciencias Biológicas  
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CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS  
dc.title
Habitat suitability under future climate scenarios in black-browed albatross (Thalassarche melanophris) in Southern South America and Antarctica  
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/article  
dc.type
info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo  
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info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion  
dc.date.updated
2024-04-12T13:21:03Z  
dc.journal.volume
46  
dc.journal.number
6  
dc.journal.pagination
545-557  
dc.journal.pais
Alemania  
dc.journal.ciudad
Berlin  
dc.description.fil
Fil: Gonzalez, Juan Cruz. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Biodiversidad Neotropical. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales e Instituto Miguel Lillo. Instituto de Biodiversidad Neotropical. Instituto de Biodiversidad Neotropical; Argentina  
dc.description.fil
Fil: Orgeira, Tomás José Luis. Ministerio de Relaciones Exteriores, Comercio Interno y Culto. Dirección Nacional del Antártico. Instituto Antártico Argentino; Argentina  
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Fil: Jiménez, Yohana Gisell. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Ecología Regional; Argentina  
dc.description.fil
Fil: Nieto Peñalver, María Carolina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán. Instituto de Biodiversidad Neotropical. Universidad Nacional de Tucumán. Facultad de Ciencias Naturales e Instituto Miguel Lillo. Instituto de Biodiversidad Neotropical. Instituto de Biodiversidad Neotropical; Argentina  
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Fil: Romero, Cynthia. Instituto del Mar del Perú; Perú  
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Fil: Alegre, Ana. Instituto del Mar del Perú; Perú  
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Fil: Quiñones, Javier. Instituto del Mar del Perú; Perú  
dc.journal.title
Polar Biology  
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00300-023-03143-7  
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00300-023-03143-7