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dc.contributor.author
Sánchez Vizcaíno, Fernando
dc.contributor.author
Perez, Andres Maximiliano
dc.contributor.author
Lainez, Manuel
dc.contributor.author
Sánchez Vizcaíno, José Manuel
dc.date.available
2024-08-07T12:32:39Z
dc.date.issued
2010-05
dc.identifier.citation
Sánchez Vizcaíno, Fernando; Perez, Andres Maximiliano; Lainez, Manuel; Sánchez Vizcaíno, José Manuel; A Quantitative Assessment of the Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Introduction into Spain via Legal Trade of Live Poultry; Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc; Risk Analysis; 30; 5; 5-2010; 798-807
dc.identifier.issn
0272-4332
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/241987
dc.description.abstract
Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) is considered one of the most important diseases of poultry. During the last 9 years, HPAI epidemics have been reported in Asia, the Americas, Africa, and in 18 countries of the European Union (EU). For that reason, it is possible that the risk for HPAI virus (HPAIV) introduction into Spain may have recently increased. Because of the EU free-trade policy and because legal trade of live poultry was considered an important route for HPAI spread in certain regions of the world, there are fears that Spain may become HPAIV-infected as a consequence of the legal introduction of live poultry. However, no quantitative assessment of the risk for HPAIV introduction into Spain or into any other EU member state via the trade of poultry has been published in the peer-reviewed literature. This article presents the results of the first quantitative assessment of the risk for HPAIV introduction into a free country via legal trade of live poultry, along with estimates of the geographical variation of the risk and of the relative contribution of exporting countries and susceptible poultry species to the risk. The annual mean risk for HPAI introduction into Spain was estimated to be as low as 1.36 × 10−3, suggesting that under prevailing conditions, introduction of HPAIV into Spain through the trade of live poultry is unlikely to occur. Moreover, these results support the hypothesis that legal trade of live poultry does not impose a significant risk for the spread of HPAI into EU member states.
dc.format
application/pdf
dc.language.iso
eng
dc.publisher
Wiley Blackwell Publishing, Inc
dc.rights
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.uri
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.subject
Risk analysis
dc.subject
Avian influenza
dc.subject
Spain
dc.subject
Live poultry
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Ciencias Veterinarias
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Ciencias Veterinarias
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CIENCIAS AGRÍCOLAS
dc.title
A Quantitative Assessment of the Risk for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Introduction into Spain via Legal Trade of Live Poultry
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type
info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.date.updated
2024-08-06T14:40:58Z
dc.journal.volume
30
dc.journal.number
5
dc.journal.pagination
798-807
dc.journal.pais
Reino Unido
dc.journal.ciudad
Londres
dc.description.fil
Fil: Sánchez Vizcaíno, Fernando. Institut Valencià D'investigacions Agràries.; España
dc.description.fil
Fil: Perez, Andres Maximiliano. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Rosario; Argentina. Universidad Nacional de Rosario. Facultad de Ciencias Veterinarias; Argentina. University of California; Estados Unidos
dc.description.fil
Fil: Lainez, Manuel. Institut Valencià D'investigacions Agràries.; España
dc.description.fil
Fil: Sánchez Vizcaíno, José Manuel. Universidad Complutense de Madrid; España
dc.journal.title
Risk Analysis
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01351.x
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2009.01351.x
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