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dc.contributor.author
Rao, Krishna D.
dc.contributor.author
Roberton, Timothy
dc.contributor.author
Vecino Ortiz, Andres I.
dc.contributor.author
Noonan, Caitlin M.
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Lopez Hernandez, Angelica
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Mora Garcia, Claudio A.
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Prado, Andrea M.
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Machado, Carla Jorge
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Vega Landaeta, Angela
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Palacio Martínez, Natalia
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Flóres, Yvonne N.
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Samuels, T. Alafia
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Metivier, Charmaine
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Laptiste, Christine
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La Foucade, Althea
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Beharry, Vyjanti
dc.contributor.author
Maceira, Daniel Alejandro
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dc.date.available
2024-07-29T15:50:25Z
dc.date.issued
2024-05
dc.identifier.citation
Rao, Krishna D.; Roberton, Timothy; Vecino Ortiz, Andres I.; Noonan, Caitlin M.; Lopez Hernandez, Angelica; et al.; Future health expenditures and its determinants in Latin America and the Caribbean: a multi-country projection study; The Lancet Regional Health - Americas; The Lancet Regional Health - Americas; 100781; 5-2024; 1-13
dc.identifier.issn
2667-193X
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/241151
dc.description.abstract
Summary Background Countries in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) have experienced important demographic, epidemiological, economic, and policy developments that raise concerns about their ability to afford health expenditures in the future. This paper forecasts how current health expenditures (CHE) in LAC countries will change over the next 30 years and identifies key drivers of health expenditure growth. Methods A statistical model to forecast CHE based on changing disease burden, economic growth, technology, and demography was developed. CHE by age and disease group at baseline (2018/19) were estimated for countries in the LAC region based on seven index countries. Baseline expenditures were projected to 2050. Findings Per capita CHE will increase across the LAC region (median increase 2.75 times) between baseline and 2050. All Latin American countries are expected to double per capita CHE in this period. Expected increases in Caribbean countries are more variable. Large increases in CHE growth related to neoplasms, circulatory system and genitourinary conditions are observed. Growth in CHE will be highest in older age groups. Interpretation Increases in health expenditures will be driven largely by economic growth and technology, while demography and epidemiology had smaller effects. The control of health expenditures and more efficient use of health resources must become a priority for the LAC region. Funding This study was funded by the Inter-American Development Bank.
dc.format
application/pdf
dc.language.iso
eng
dc.publisher
The Lancet Regional Health - Americas
dc.rights
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.uri
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.subject
Health Financing
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Latin America
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Caribbean
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Health expenditures
dc.subject.classification
Otras Ciencias de la Salud
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dc.subject.classification
Ciencias de la Salud
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dc.subject.classification
CIENCIAS MÉDICAS Y DE LA SALUD
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dc.title
Future health expenditures and its determinants in Latin America and the Caribbean: a multi-country projection study
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type
info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.date.updated
2024-07-26T13:22:46Z
dc.journal.number
100781
dc.journal.pagination
1-13
dc.journal.pais
Reino Unido
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dc.journal.ciudad
Londres
dc.description.fil
Fil: Rao, Krishna D.. University Johns Hopkins; Estados Unidos
dc.description.fil
Fil: Roberton, Timothy. The University of Western Australia; Australia
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Fil: Vecino Ortiz, Andres I.. University Johns Hopkins; Estados Unidos
dc.description.fil
Fil: Noonan, Caitlin M.. University Johns Hopkins; Estados Unidos
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Fil: Lopez Hernandez, Angelica. University Johns Hopkins; Estados Unidos
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Fil: Mora Garcia, Claudio A.. Instituto Centroamericano de Administración de Empresas; Puerto Rico
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Fil: Prado, Andrea M.. Instituto Centroamericano de Administración de Empresas; Puerto Rico
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Fil: Machado, Carla Jorge. Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais; Brasil
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Fil: Vega Landaeta, Angela. Pontificia Universidad Javeriana; Colombia
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Fil: Palacio Martínez, Natalia. Pontificia Universidad Javeriana; Colombia
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Fil: Flóres, Yvonne N.. University of California at Los Angeles; Estados Unidos
dc.description.fil
Fil: Samuels, T. Alafia. University of the West Indies; Trinidad y Tobago
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Fil: Metivier, Charmaine. University of the West Indies; Trinidad y Tobago
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Fil: Laptiste, Christine. University of the West Indies; Trinidad y Tobago
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Fil: La Foucade, Althea. University of the West Indies; Trinidad y Tobago
dc.description.fil
Fil: Beharry, Vyjanti. University of the West Indies; Trinidad y Tobago
dc.description.fil
Fil: Maceira, Daniel Alejandro. Universidad de Buenos Aires; Argentina. Centro de Estudios de Estado y Sociedad; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina
dc.journal.title
The Lancet Regional Health - Americas
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667193X2400108X
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lana.2024.100781
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