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dc.contributor.author
Blázquez, Josefina
dc.contributor.author
Solman, Silvina Alicia
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dc.date.available
2023-12-15T16:28:51Z
dc.date.issued
2023-02
dc.identifier.citation
Blázquez, Josefina; Solman, Silvina Alicia; Temperature and precipitation biases in CORDEX RCM simulations over South America: possible origin and impacts on the regional climate change signal; Springer; Climate Dynamics; 61; 5-6; 2-2023; 2907-2920
dc.identifier.issn
0930-7575
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/220491
dc.description.abstract
Precipitation and temperature biases from a set of Regional Climate Models from the CORDEX initiative have been analysed to assess the extent to which the biases may impact the climate change signal. The analysis has been performed for the South American CORDEX domain. A large warm bias was found over central Argentina (CARG) for most models, mainly in the summer season. Results indicate that the possible origin of this bias is an overestimation of the incoming shortwave radiation, in agreement with an underestimation of the relative humidity at 850 hPa, a variable that could be used to diagnose cloudiness. Regarding precipitation, the largest biases were found during summertime over northeast of Brazil (NEB), where most models overestimate the precipitation, leading to wet biases over that region. This bias agrees with models’ underestimation of both the moisture flux convergence and the relative humidity at lower levels of the atmosphere. This outcome suggests that the generation of more clouds in the models may drive the wet bias over NEB. These systematic errors could affect the climate change signal, considering that these biases may not be stationary. For both CARG and NEB regions, models with higher warm biases project higher warming levels, mainly in the summer season. In addition, it was found that these relationships are statistically significant with a confidence level of 95%, pointing out that biases are linearly linked with the climate change signal. For precipitation, the relationship between the biases and the projected precipitation changes is only statistically significant for the NEB region, where models with the largest wet biases present the greatest positive precipitation changes during the warm season. As in the case of biases, the analysis of the temperature and precipitation projections over some regions of South America suggests that clouds could affect them. The results found in this study point out that the analysis of the bias behaviour could help in a better interpretation of the climate change signal.
dc.format
application/pdf
dc.language.iso
eng
dc.publisher
Springer
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dc.rights
info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
dc.rights.uri
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.subject
CLIMATE CHANGE SIGNAL
dc.subject
RCM CORDEX MODELS
dc.subject
SOUTH AMERICA
dc.subject
SYSTEMATIC ERRORS
dc.subject.classification
Investigación Climatológica
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dc.subject.classification
Ciencias de la Tierra y relacionadas con el Medio Ambiente
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dc.subject.classification
CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS
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dc.title
Temperature and precipitation biases in CORDEX RCM simulations over South America: possible origin and impacts on the regional climate change signal
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type
info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.date.updated
2023-12-14T13:16:32Z
dc.journal.volume
61
dc.journal.number
5-6
dc.journal.pagination
2907-2920
dc.journal.pais
Alemania
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dc.journal.ciudad
Berlin
dc.description.fil
Fil: Blázquez, Josefina. Universidad Nacional de La Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Astronómicas y Geofísicas; Argentina
dc.description.fil
Fil: Solman, Silvina Alicia. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera; Argentina. Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios del Clima y sus Impactos; Argentina
dc.journal.title
Climate Dynamics
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dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://dx.doi.org/https://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00382-023-06727-5
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06727-5
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