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dc.contributor.author Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio
dc.date.available 2017-05-31T21:35:48Z
dc.date.issued 2010-10
dc.identifier.citation Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio; The Hydrologic Cycle of the La Plata Basin in the WCRP-CMIP3 multimodel dataset; American Meteorological Society; Journal Of Hydrometeorology; 11; 5; 10-2010; 1083-1102
dc.identifier.issn 1525-755X
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/11336/17230
dc.description.abstract General circulation models (GCMs) forced under different greenhouse gases emission and socioeconomic scenarios are currently the most extended tool throughout the scientific community that is used to infer the future climate on Earth. However, these models still have problems in capturing several aspects of regional climate variability in many parts of the globe. In this paper, the hydrological cycle of the La Plata Basin is simulated using the variable infiltration capacity (VIC) distributed hydrology model and forced with atmospheric data from different GCMs to determine to what extent errors in temperature and precipitation fields impact the hydrology of the basin. The skill assessment is performed in terms of simulated runoff at different closing points. Simulated hydrographs show that all of the GCMs present deficiencies in simulating the regional climatology of southern South America, and this leads to a very poor representation of the hydrological cycle of the main rivers across the basin. Two unbiasing schemes are then proposed as a means of correcting the GCM outputs before forcing the hydrology model, and comparisons between biased and unbiased simulations are also performed. Results indicate that both schemes, though methodologically different, reduce the water cycle simulation bias. Finally, VIC is forced with bias-corrected data from the GCMs for future decades (2030 and 2070) under different socioeconomic scenarios [e.g., the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) scenarios A1B, A2, and B1] to determine the potential changes in streamflow due to climate change for the rest of the present century.
dc.format application/pdf
dc.language.iso eng
dc.publisher American Meteorological Society
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.uri https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.subject GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS
dc.subject HYDROLOGY MODEL
dc.subject LA PLATA BASIN
dc.subject CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject.classification Investigación Climatológica
dc.subject.classification Ciencias de la Tierra y relacionadas con el Medio Ambiente
dc.subject.classification CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS
dc.title The Hydrologic Cycle of the La Plata Basin in the WCRP-CMIP3 multimodel dataset
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.date.updated 2017-05-31T19:44:08Z
dc.journal.volume 11
dc.journal.number 5
dc.journal.pagination 1083-1102
dc.journal.pais Estados Unidos
dc.journal.ciudad Boston
dc.description.fil Fil: Saurral, Ramiro Ignacio. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Ciudad Universitaria. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmosfera. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmosfera; Argentina
dc.journal.title Journal Of Hydrometeorology
dc.relation.alternativeid info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JHM1178.1
dc.relation.alternativeid info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010JHM1178.1


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  • Articulos(CIMA) [196]
    Articulos de CENTRO DE INVESTIGACIONES DEL MAR Y LA ATMOSFERA

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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Excepto donde se diga explícitamente, este item se publica bajo la siguiente descripción: Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 Unported (CC BY-NC-SA 2.5)