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dc.contributor.author
Wilfahrt, Peter A.  
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Asmus, Ashley L.  
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Seabloom, Eric  
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Henning, Jeremiah A.  
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Adler, Peter  
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Arnillas, Carlos A.  
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Bakker, Jonathan  
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Biederman, Lori  
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Brudvig, Lars A.  
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Cadotte, Marc W.  
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Daleo, Pedro  
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Eskelinen, Anu  
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Firn, Jennifer  
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Harpole, W. Stanley  
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Hautier, Yann  
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Kirkman, Kevin P.  
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Komatsu, Kimberly J.  
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Laungani, Ramesh  
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MacDougall, Andrew  
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McCulley, Rebecca L.  
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Moore, Joslin L.  
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Morgan, John W.  
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Mortensen, Brent  
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Ochoa Hueso, Raul  
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Ohlert, Timothy  
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Power, Sally A.  
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Price, Jodi  
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Risch, Anita C.  
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Schuetz, Martin  
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Shoemaker, Lauren  
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Stevens, Carly  
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Strauss, Alexander T.  
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Tognetti, Pedro Maximiliano  
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Virtanen, Risto  
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Borer, Elizabeth  
dc.date.available
2022-09-08T15:55:47Z  
dc.date.issued
2021-11  
dc.identifier.citation
Wilfahrt, Peter A.; Asmus, Ashley L.; Seabloom, Eric; Henning, Jeremiah A.; Adler, Peter; et al.; Temporal rarity is a better predictor of local extinction risk than spatial rarity; Ecological Society of America; Ecology; 102; 11; 11-2021; 1-13  
dc.identifier.issn
0012-9658  
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/167993  
dc.description.abstract
Spatial rarity is often used to predict extinction risk, but rarity can also occur temporally. Perhaps more relevant in the context of global change is whether a species is core to a community (persistent) or transient (intermittently present), with transient species often susceptible to human activities that reduce niche space. Using 5–12 yr of data on 1,447 plant species from 49 grasslands on five continents, we show that local abundance and species persistence under ambient conditions are both effective predictors of local extinction risk following experimental exclusion of grazers or addition of nutrients; persistence was a more powerful predictor than local abundance. While perturbations increased the risk of exclusion for low persistence and abundance species, transient but abundant species were also highly likely to be excluded from a perturbed plot relative to ambient conditions. Moreover, low persistence and low abundance species that were not excluded from perturbed plots tended to have a modest increase in abundance following perturbance. Last, even core species with high abundances had large decreases in persistence and increased losses in perturbed plots, threatening the long-term stability of these grasslands. Our results demonstrate that expanding the concept of rarity to include temporal dynamics, in addition to local abundance, more effectively predicts extinction risk in response to environmental change than either rarity axis predicts alone.  
dc.format
application/pdf  
dc.language.iso
eng  
dc.publisher
Ecological Society of America  
dc.rights
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess  
dc.rights.uri
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/  
dc.subject
CORE-TRANSIENT  
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EXTINCTION RISK  
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GRASSLANDS  
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HERBIVORES  
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NUTNET  
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NUTRIENTS  
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RARITY  
dc.subject.classification
Ecología  
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Ciencias Biológicas  
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CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS  
dc.title
Temporal rarity is a better predictor of local extinction risk than spatial rarity  
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/article  
dc.type
info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo  
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion  
dc.date.updated
2022-09-06T18:40:25Z  
dc.identifier.eissn
1939-9170  
dc.journal.volume
102  
dc.journal.number
11  
dc.journal.pagination
1-13  
dc.journal.pais
Estados Unidos  
dc.journal.ciudad
Brooklyn  
dc.description.fil
Fil: Wilfahrt, Peter A.. University of Minnesota; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Asmus, Ashley L.. University of Minnesota; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Seabloom, Eric. University of Minnesota; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Henning, Jeremiah A.. University of Minnesota; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Adler, Peter. State University of Utah; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Arnillas, Carlos A.. University of Toronto Scarborough; Canadá  
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Fil: Bakker, Jonathan. University of Washington; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Biederman, Lori. University of Iowa; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Brudvig, Lars A.. Michigan State University; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Cadotte, Marc W.. University of Toronto Scarborough; Canadá  
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Fil: Daleo, Pedro. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mar del Plata. Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras. Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales. Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras; Argentina  
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Fil: Eskelinen, Anu. German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research; Alemania  
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Fil: Firn, Jennifer. University of Queensland; Australia  
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Fil: Harpole, W. Stanley. German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research; Alemania. Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research; Alemania. Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg; Alemania  
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Fil: Hautier, Yann. Utrecht University; Países Bajos  
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Fil: Kirkman, Kevin P.. University of KwaZulu-Natal; Sudáfrica  
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Fil: Komatsu, Kimberly J.. Smithsonian Environmental Research Center; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Laungani, Ramesh. Doane University; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: MacDougall, Andrew. University of Guelph; Canadá  
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Fil: McCulley, Rebecca L.. University of Kentucky; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Moore, Joslin L.. Monash University; Australia  
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Fil: Morgan, John W.. La Trobe University; Australia  
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Fil: Mortensen, Brent. Benedictine College; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Ochoa Hueso, Raul. Universidad de Cádiz; España  
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Fil: Ohlert, Timothy. University of New Mexico; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Power, Sally A.. University of Western Sydney; Australia  
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Fil: Price, Jodi. Charles Sturt University; Australia  
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Fil: Risch, Anita C.. Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research; Suiza  
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Fil: Schuetz, Martin. Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research; Suiza  
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Fil: Shoemaker, Lauren. University of Wyoming; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Stevens, Carly. Lancaster University; Reino Unido  
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Fil: Strauss, Alexander T.. University of Minnesota; Estados Unidos. University of Georgia; Estados Unidos  
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Fil: Tognetti, Pedro Maximiliano. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Oficina de Coordinación Administrativa Parque Centenario. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Agronomía. Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura; Argentina  
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Fil: Virtanen, Risto. University of Oulu; Finlandia  
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Fil: Borer, Elizabeth. University of Minnesota; Estados Unidos  
dc.journal.title
Ecology  
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ecy.3504  
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3504