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dc.contributor.author
Gurevitz, Juan Manuel  
dc.contributor.author
Antman, Julián Gustavo  
dc.contributor.author
Laneri, Karina Fabiana  
dc.contributor.author
Morales, Juan Manuel  
dc.date.available
2022-05-12T14:58:42Z  
dc.date.issued
2021-06  
dc.identifier.citation
Gurevitz, Juan Manuel; Antman, Julián Gustavo; Laneri, Karina Fabiana; Morales, Juan Manuel; Temperature, traveling, slums, and housing drive dengue transmission in a non-endemic metropolis; Public Library of Science; Neglected Tropical Diseases; 15; 6; 6-2021  
dc.identifier.issn
1935-2735  
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/157357  
dc.description.abstract
Dengue is steadily increasing worldwide and expanding into higher latitudes. Current non-endemic areas are prone to become endemic soon. To improve understanding of dengue transmission in these settings, we assessed the spatiotemporal dynamics of the hitherto largest outbreak in the non-endemic metropolis of Buenos Aires, Argentina, based on detailed information on the 5,104 georeferenced cases registered during summer-autumn of 2016. The highly seasonal dengue transmission in Buenos Aires was modulated by temperature and triggered by imported cases coming from regions with ongoing outbreaks. However, local transmission was made possible and consolidated heterogeneously in the city due to housing and socioeconomic characteristics of the population, with 32.8% of autochthonous cases occurring in slums, which held only 6.4% of the city population. A hierarchical spatiotemporal model accounting for imperfect detection of cases showed that, outside slums, less-affluent neighborhoods of houses (vs. apartments) favored transmission. Global and local spatiotemporal point-pattern analyses demonstrated that most transmission occurred at or close to home. Additionally, based on these results, a point-pattern analysis was assessed for early identification of transmission foci during the outbreak while accounting for population spatial distribution. Altogether, our results reveal how social, physical, and biological processes shape dengue transmission in Buenos Aires and, likely, other non-endemic cities, and suggest multiple opportunities for control interventions.  
dc.format
application/pdf  
dc.language.iso
eng  
dc.publisher
Public Library of Science  
dc.rights
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess  
dc.rights.uri
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/ar/  
dc.subject
DENGUE FEVER  
dc.subject
EPIDEMIOLOGY  
dc.subject
AEDES AEGYPTI  
dc.subject
SPATIAL ANALYSIS  
dc.subject.classification
Ecología  
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Ciencias Biológicas  
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CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS  
dc.title
Temperature, traveling, slums, and housing drive dengue transmission in a non-endemic metropolis  
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/article  
dc.type
info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo  
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion  
dc.date.updated
2022-03-11T13:50:47Z  
dc.journal.volume
15  
dc.journal.number
6  
dc.journal.pais
Estados Unidos  
dc.journal.ciudad
San Francisco  
dc.description.fil
Fil: Gurevitz, Juan Manuel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina  
dc.description.fil
Fil: Antman, Julián Gustavo. Gobierno de la Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires. Ministerio de Salud; Argentina  
dc.description.fil
Fil: Laneri, Karina Fabiana. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte; Argentina. Comisión Nacional de Energía Atómica. Gerencia del Área de Investigaciones y Aplicaciones No Nucleares. Gerencia de Física (cab). División Física Estadística; Argentina  
dc.description.fil
Fil: Morales, Juan Manuel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Patagonia Norte. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente. Universidad Nacional del Comahue. Centro Regional Universidad Bariloche. Instituto de Investigaciones en Biodiversidad y Medioambiente; Argentina  
dc.journal.title
Neglected Tropical Diseases  
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0009465  
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0009465