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dc.contributor.author
Jones, Julie
dc.contributor.author
Gille, Sarah
dc.contributor.author
Goose, Hugues J.
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Abram, Nerillie J.
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Canziani, Pablo Osvaldo
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Charman, Dan J.
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Clem, Kyle R.
dc.contributor.author
Crosta Xavier
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de Lavergne, Casimir
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Eisenman, Ian
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England, Matthew H.
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Fogt, Ryan L.
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Frankcombe, Leela M.
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Marshall, Gareth J.
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Masson Delmotte, Valérie
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Morrison, Adele K.
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Orsi, Anaïs J.
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Raphael, Marilyn N.
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Renwick, James A.
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Schneider, David P.
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Simpkins, Graham R.
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Steig, Eric J.
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Steni, Barbara
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Swingedow, Didier
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Vance, Tessa R.
dc.date.available
2020-10-29T17:50:11Z
dc.date.issued
2016-10
dc.identifier.citation
Jones, Julie; Gille, Sarah; Goose, Hugues J.; Abram, Nerillie J.; Canziani, Pablo Osvaldo; et al.; Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate; Nature Publishing Group; Nature Climate Change; 6; 10; 10-2016; 917-926
dc.identifier.issn
1758-678X
dc.identifier.uri
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/117172
dc.description.abstract
Understanding the causes of recent climatic trends and variability in the high-latitude Southern Hemisphere is hampered by a short instrumental record. Here, we analyse recent atmosphere, surface ocean and sea-ice observations in this region and assess their trends in the context of palaeoclimate records and climate model simulations. Over the 36-year satellite era, significant linear trends in annual mean sea-ice extent, surface temperature and sea-level pressure are superimposed on large interannual to decadal variability. Most observed trends, however, are not unusual when compared with Antarctic palaeoclimate records of the past two centuries. With the exception of the positive trend in the Southern Annular Mode, climate model simulations that include anthropogenic forcing are not compatible with the observed trends. This suggests that natural variability overwhelms the forced response in the observations, but the models may not fully represent this natural variability or may overestimate the magnitude of the forced response.
dc.format
application/pdf
dc.language.iso
eng
dc.publisher
Nature Publishing Group
dc.rights
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.uri
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/
dc.subject
ANTARCTICA
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CLIMATE CHANGE
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CLIMATE VARIABILITY
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Investigación Climatológica
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Ciencias de la Tierra y relacionadas con el Medio Ambiente
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CIENCIAS NATURALES Y EXACTAS
dc.title
Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type
info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo
dc.type
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.date.updated
2020-10-09T16:02:09Z
dc.identifier.eissn
1758-6798
dc.journal.volume
6
dc.journal.number
10
dc.journal.pagination
917-926
dc.journal.pais
Reino Unido
dc.journal.ciudad
Londres
dc.description.fil
Fil: Jones, Julie. University of Sheffield; Reino Unido
dc.description.fil
Fil: Gille, Sarah. University of California at San Diego. Scripps Institution of Oceanography; Estados Unidos
dc.description.fil
Fil: Goose, Hugues J.. Université Catholique de Louvain; Bélgica
dc.description.fil
Fil: Abram, Nerillie J.. The Australian National University; Australia
dc.description.fil
Fil: Canziani, Pablo Osvaldo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Argentina. Universidad Tecnológica Nacional. Facultad Regional Buenos Aires. Unidad de Investigación y Desarrollo de las Ingenierías; Argentina
dc.description.fil
Fil: Charman, Dan J.. University of Exeter; Reino Unido
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Fil: Clem, Kyle R.. Victoria University of Wellington; Nueva Zelanda
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Fil: Crosta Xavier. Universite de Bordeaux; Francia
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Fil: de Lavergne, Casimir. Université Pierre et Marie Curie; Francia
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Fil: Eisenman, Ian. University of California at San Diego. Scripps Institution of Oceanography; Estados Unidos
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Fil: England, Matthew H.. University of New South Wales; Australia
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Fil: Fogt, Ryan L.. Ohio University; Estados Unidos
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Fil: Frankcombe, Leela M.. University of New South Wales; Australia
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Fil: Marshall, Gareth J.. British Antartic Survey; Reino Unido
dc.description.fil
Fil: Masson Delmotte, Valérie. Université de Paris-Saclay; Francia. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; Francia
dc.description.fil
Fil: Morrison, Adele K.. University of Princeton; Estados Unidos
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Fil: Orsi, Anaïs J.. Université de Paris-Saclay; Francia
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Fil: Raphael, Marilyn N.. University of California; Estados Unidos
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Fil: Renwick, James A.. Victoria University of Wellington; Nueva Zelanda
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Fil: Schneider, David P.. National Center for Atmospheric Research; Estados Unidos
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Fil: Simpkins, Graham R.. University of California at Irvine. School of Physical Sciences. Department of Earth System Sciences; Estados Unidos
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Fil: Steig, Eric J.. University of Washington; Estados Unidos
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Fil: Steni, Barbara. Universita' Ca' Foscari Di Venezia; Italia
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Fil: Swingedow, Didier. Universite de Bordeaux; Francia
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Fil: Vance, Tessa R.. Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre; Australia
dc.journal.title
Nature Climate Change
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/NCLIMATE3103
dc.relation.alternativeid
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate3103
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